Tag Archives: Jim Foreit

Population Transition

Happy New Year 2021 was not a great year. We are all hoping that 2022 will be better but I doubt that will be the case. I do think, however, that we will be up to the challenges it brings. … Continue reading

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Attempts to Reverse Negative Impacts of Fertility Rates That Have Crossed Below Replacement

As Jim mentioned in his guest blog (January 14, 2014): Half of the countries worldwide now have sub-replacement fertility. The downside to this trend is shrinking labor forces – a factor which has led some governments to try to reverse … Continue reading

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Stabilization

My latest series of blogs has focused on long term population growth; one of the main aspects has been an attempt to understand the United Nations’ medium projection and the reasoning behind its very large margin of error (December 24, … Continue reading

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Crossing the Fertility Replacement Rate – the Last 20 Years

As I have shown in previous blogs, long-term (I use 1000 years as the “magic” number – see the December 17, 2013 blog) exponential growth (or decline) cannot continue unabated without serious consequences. Lately, I have emphasized this concept mainly … Continue reading

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Crossing the Fertility Replacement Rates – Background

One of the fascinating things in trying to do what I do, be that teaching, writing or lecturing, is to try to anticipate long term future trends, given the ever changing present. Sometimes the present gets my full attention, and … Continue reading

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