Tag Archives: Fertility Replacement Rate

Searching for Limits – Stability for a Distant Future

I am finishing this blog on Friday, January 20th – Inauguration Day for our new president. I didn’t recognize the country that he described in his acceptance speech. Nevertheless, I wish him – and all of us – the best. … Continue reading

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Immigration: IPAT

Noah Smith wrote an article in Bloomberg about how to convince the Japanese to have more kids: Japan would like to stabilize its rapidly aging population, and there are really only two ways to do that. It can let in … Continue reading

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China – Cap and Trade With Babies?

Last week I started discussing the upcoming COP21 conference in Paris. I talked about the Earth Summit, which sanctioned the IPCCC, and included the near term commitments from the 10 most carbon emitting countries as to reduction of their emissions … Continue reading

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Economic Impact of Fertility Rates Below Replacement

The golden rule of free enterprise economy seems to be that everything that contributes to economic growth is good, while anything that detracts from the same is bad. The rationale behind this is that as the population grows, the economy … Continue reading

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Attempts to Reverse Negative Impacts of Fertility Rates That Have Crossed Below Replacement

As Jim mentioned in his guest blog (January 14, 2014): Half of the countries worldwide now have sub-replacement fertility. The downside to this trend is shrinking labor forces – a factor which has led some governments to try to reverse … Continue reading

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Crossing the Fertility Replacement Rate – the Last 20 Years

As I have shown in previous blogs, long-term (I use 1000 years as the “magic” number – see the December 17, 2013 blog) exponential growth (or decline) cannot continue unabated without serious consequences. Lately, I have emphasized this concept mainly … Continue reading

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Crossing the Fertility Replacement Rates – Background

One of the fascinating things in trying to do what I do, be that teaching, writing or lecturing, is to try to anticipate long term future trends, given the ever changing present. Sometimes the present gets my full attention, and … Continue reading

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