Tag Archives: Global Population

Economic Impact of Fertility Rates Below Replacement

The golden rule of free enterprise economy seems to be that everything that contributes to economic growth is good, while anything that detracts from the same is bad. The rationale behind this is that as the population grows, the economy … Continue reading

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Attempts to Reverse Negative Impacts of Fertility Rates That Have Crossed Below Replacement

As Jim mentioned in his guest blog (January 14, 2014): Half of the countries worldwide now have sub-replacement fertility. The downside to this trend is shrinking labor forces – a factor which has led some governments to try to reverse … Continue reading

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Stabilization

My latest series of blogs has focused on long term population growth; one of the main aspects has been an attempt to understand the United Nations’ medium projection and the reasoning behind its very large margin of error (December 24, … Continue reading

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Crossing the Fertility Replacement Rate – the Last 20 Years

As I have shown in previous blogs, long-term (I use 1000 years as the “magic” number – see the December 17, 2013 blog) exponential growth (or decline) cannot continue unabated without serious consequences. Lately, I have emphasized this concept mainly … Continue reading

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Crossing the Fertility Replacement Rates – Background

One of the fascinating things in trying to do what I do, be that teaching, writing or lecturing, is to try to anticipate long term future trends, given the ever changing present. Sometimes the present gets my full attention, and … Continue reading

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Jim Foreit Guest Blog: How Does Population Decline?

In the last few posts, I have discussed the global population (both current and future), as it relates to both economic input and contribution to climate change. I promised to ask a friend who specializes in demographics for his comments. … Continue reading

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Why Do We Care About Inequality?

Happy New Year! My last blog ended with a quote from Karan Singh, a former minister of population in India, who said, “Development is the best contraceptive.” This was supported by data which shows that fertility rates and population growth … Continue reading

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Poverty and Population

Happy New Year! My last two blogs raised the issue of a timeline for “absolute” sustainability; one that would give us enough time to move any remnants of the human population to another planet in case we are “successful” in … Continue reading

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Future Populations

Last week’s blog established various time targets for the existence of our civilization and thus tried to establish an absolute level of sustainability. Granted, some of the targets I provided were rather trivial, like the desire to see another “Thanksgivukkah,” … Continue reading

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Hanukkah, Thanksgiving and the Drake Equation

I recently finished celebrating Thanksgiving and Hanukkah with my family; enjoying the wonderful meal, lighting the 2nd Hanukkah candle and thanking God both in English and Hebrew. Following this, we also prepared to celebrate the end of the semester, and … Continue reading

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