Tag Archives: business as usual

Uncertainties Can Bring The Best Possible Outcomes, The Worst Possible Outcomes, and Everything In Between: Ocean Currents

I have addressed uncertainty on a number of previous occasions (December 10, 2012; May 16, 2017; January 9, 2018; and other blogs) but some important work came to light recently that put this idea to a test. Most of the … Continue reading

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Vulnerabilities: Global Environmental Refugees

I am not the only one to predict (February 3, 2015 and October 3, 2017) that continuing our practices in a business as usual scenario will lead to destruction of the physical environment as we know it – as well … Continue reading

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Collective Irrationality and Individual Biases: Climate Change II

Last week I discussed some issues in terms of psychology of judgement and decision making; I feel that they need some clarification and expansion. I looked at how highly educated Democrats and Republicans diverge sharply in their opinions about the … Continue reading

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Collective Irrationality and Individual Biases: Climate Change

Last week’s blog looked at the connections between the latest effort to rewrite our tax code and the necessary detailed accounting of the resources we will need to compensate for the increasing damage that climate change will inflict on us … Continue reading

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Dynamic Scoring: Taxes and Climate Change

Our government’s executive and legislative branches, are in the midst of discussing two important issues: tax breaks and climate change. Well, in truth, the only real discussion going on has to do with the tax legislation. Climate change is only … Continue reading

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Long-Term Adaptations

Figure 1 – Scene from “The Martian” I was considering using a more descriptive title for the coming series of blogs, inspired by a recent article in the New York Times (NYT) called, “How to Survive the Apocalypse?” The article … Continue reading

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Doomsday: Local Timelines

The last few blogs focused on the ultimate consequences of continuing to make “progress” by relentlessly using the physical environment to serve humanity as if it were as a limitless resource. I tried to make the case that such efforts … Continue reading

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Doomsday: Timing?

Figure 1 – IPCC projections of future climate change impacts based on two different scenarios Figure 2 – Relationship between global mean equilibrium temperature change and stabilization concentration of greenhouse gases Trying to estimate the timing of doomsday is not … Continue reading

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Doomsday Early Signs: The Science

The New York Times last week tried to highlight the dangers of climate change. On Friday, Alexander Burns opened his contribution with the following two paragraphs: For years, climate change activists have faced a wrenching dilemma: how to persuade people … Continue reading

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Doomsday: The Simple (or Simplistic) Version

I am writing this blog on Saturday, one day before hurricane Irma is scheduled to make an unwelcome visit to Florida. Other unwanted weather events are taking place all around. Human impact, especially the undesirable variety, is taking a toll. … Continue reading

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