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Tag Archives: business as usual
Uncertainties Can Bring The Best Possible Outcomes, The Worst Possible Outcomes, and Everything In Between: Ocean Currents
I have addressed uncertainty on a number of previous occasions (December 10, 2012; May 16, 2017; January 9, 2018; and other blogs) but some important work came to light recently that put this idea to a test. Most of the … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, Sustainability, Water
Tagged Adaptation, ambiguity, Antarctica, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, AR4, atlantic, business as usual, carbon dioxide, certain, circulation, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2, CO2 emissions, conveyor belt, Current, disaster, ecosystem, Emissions, energy transition, Environment, estimate, expectation, Fossil Fuels, Future, Glacier, Global Warming, greenhouse gas, humid, humidity, ice, ice age, IPCC, melt, methodology, Mitigation, MOC, Ocean, polar ice, Prediction, projection, Research, risk, risk aversion, risk management, Science, sea ice, Sustainability, Temperature, temperature rise, uncertain, uncertainty
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Vulnerabilities: Global Environmental Refugees
I am not the only one to predict (February 3, 2015 and October 3, 2017) that continuing our practices in a business as usual scenario will lead to destruction of the physical environment as we know it – as well … Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change
Tagged Adaptation, Afghanistan, analysis, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, asylum, Bangladesh, business as usual, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, climate refugee, Climate Skeptics, Colombia, conflict, Congo, Dhaka, displaced, earthquake, EERC, Emissions, Energy, energy transition, Environment, Ethiopia, extinction, Flood, Fossil Fuels, Fresh Water, Future, Germany, Global Population, Global Warming, goldilocks, greenhouse gas, immigrant, intelligence, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kenya, Lebanon, migrant, Mitigation, Nigeria, nile, Pakistan, Policy, Power, refugee, Research, resource, Salinity, Science, Sea-Level Rise, security, Self Inflicted Genocide, sixth extinction, South Sudan, storm, stuttering transition, Sudan, Sustainability, Syria, Technology, Transition, Turkey, Uganda, Ukraine, US, Volcano, Water, Water Cycle, water distribution, Water Scarcity, wildfire, World Population
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Collective Irrationality and Individual Biases: Climate Change II
Last week I discussed some issues in terms of psychology of judgement and decision making; I feel that they need some clarification and expansion. I looked at how highly educated Democrats and Republicans diverge sharply in their opinions about the … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, law, Sustainability
Tagged Adaptation, Anthropocene, architecture, belief, bias, brain, business as usual, Cap and Trade, choice, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, council on foreign relations, decision, Democrat, Energy, evidence, fact, following the herd, Global Warming, greenhouse gas, immediate threat, instinct, intuition, irrational, Kahneman, leader, libertarian, libertarian paternalism, loss aversion, meteor, Mitigation, Nobel, nudge, Physics, political, politics, psychology, rational, reasoning, regulation, Republican, Science, smoking, Sunstein, Sustainability, system, Thaler, Tversky, undoing project, William James
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Collective Irrationality and Individual Biases: Climate Change
Last week’s blog looked at the connections between the latest effort to rewrite our tax code and the necessary detailed accounting of the resources we will need to compensate for the increasing damage that climate change will inflict on us … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, Education, Election, politics, Sustainability, Trump
Tagged Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, apocalypse, behavioral economics, bias, business as usual, Cass Sunstein, catastrophe, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, cognitive bias, college, conservation of energy, conspiracy, democracy, Democrat, Donald Trump, doomsday, dynamic scoring, Economics, Education, Election, End of Now, Energy, greenhouse gas, high school, human contribution, John Zeller, junk science, just world, loss aversion, Market, physicist, Physics, political elite, psychology, rational choice theory, Republican, Richard Thaler, Science, Social Science, Trump, US, vote, voter
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Dynamic Scoring: Taxes and Climate Change
Our government’s executive and legislative branches, are in the midst of discussing two important issues: tax breaks and climate change. Well, in truth, the only real discussion going on has to do with the tax legislation. Climate change is only … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, COP21, IPCC, law, Sustainability, Trump, UN, UNFCCC
Tagged Accounting, Adaptation, analysis, budget, business as usual, byrd rule, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, CO2 emissions, Congress, COP23, debt, deficit, Democrat, Donald Trump, dynamic accounting, dynamic analysis, Economics, Economy, Emissions, Energy, energy transition, Environment, Fiji, fire, Fossil Fuels, GDP, Global Warming, GOP, governance, Government, greenhouse gas, Growth, heatwave, IPCC, loss, Mitigation, Obamacare, Paris accord, Paris Agreement, Reagan, Republican, risk, Science, sea ice, sea level, Tax, tax cut, tax reform, Technology, Ted Cruz, Temperature, Trump, UN, UNFCCC, US, vote, voter
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Long-Term Adaptations
Figure 1 – Scene from “The Martian” I was considering using a more descriptive title for the coming series of blogs, inspired by a recent article in the New York Times (NYT) called, “How to Survive the Apocalypse?” The article … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, Sustainability, Trump
Tagged Adaptation, Anthropocene, apocalypse, armageddon, asteroid, astronaut, Atmosphere, Australia, business as usual, California, chemistry, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2 emissions, David Wallace-Wells, doomsday, Earth, earthquake, Emissions, End of Now, Environment, Equilibrium, extraterrestrial, fire, Future, global nuclear war, Global Warming, golden globe, greenhouse gas, Jessica Chastain, Mars, martian, Matt Damon, Mediterranean, Mexico, Mitigation, Physical Environment, Physics, Population, Power, prepare, Science, Sustainability, Technology, Trump, uninhabitability, uninhabitable, US, Volcano, wildfire, World Population
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Doomsday: Local Timelines
The last few blogs focused on the ultimate consequences of continuing to make “progress” by relentlessly using the physical environment to serve humanity as if it were as a limitless resource. I tried to make the case that such efforts … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, immigration, IPCC, Sustainability, UN
Tagged Adaptation, AOGCM, apocalypse, Arizona, Bangladesh, business as usual, Clean Energy, climate central, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2 emissions, doomsday, dry bulb, Emissions, Energy, energy transition, Environment, Eun-Soon Im, Evaporation, evaporative cooling, Fossil Fuels, Ganges, GDP, Global Population, global trends, Global Warming, greenhouse gas, heat, heat dissipation, heat stress, heat wave, Himalayas, India, Indus Valley, IPCC, Local, Matthew Huber, Mitigation, MRCM, Pakistan, Phoenix, Population, projection, public health, rural, Science, sea level, simulation, South Asia, spatial resolution, Sri-Lanka, Steven Sherwood, Sustainability, Technology, Temperature, UN, urban, US, Water, Weather, wet bulb, World Population
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Doomsday: Timing?
Figure 1 – IPCC projections of future climate change impacts based on two different scenarios Figure 2 – Relationship between global mean equilibrium temperature change and stabilization concentration of greenhouse gases Trying to estimate the timing of doomsday is not … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, IPCC, politics, Sustainability, Trump
Tagged 6th mass extinction, Adaptation, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, apocalypse, attribution, business as usual, Carbon, Carbon Cycle, carbon dioxide, cataclysm, catastrophe, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2, CO2 emissions, department of energy, Donald Trump, doomsday, EDGI, Electricity, Emissions, End of Now, energy transition, Environment, environmental health, EPA, Fossil Fuels, global extinction, Global Warming, GOP, greenhouse gas, GtC, Harvey, Hurricane, IPCC, irma, mass extinction, Mitigation, NIH, Paris accord, Paris Agreement, politics, Power Plants, renewable energy, Science, Self Inflicted Genocide, self-inflicted, Sustainability, Technology, Temperature, threshold, tropical storm, Trump, UN, US
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Doomsday Early Signs: The Science
The New York Times last week tried to highlight the dangers of climate change. On Friday, Alexander Burns opened his contribution with the following two paragraphs: For years, climate change activists have faced a wrenching dilemma: how to persuade people … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, IPCC, Sustainability, Trump
Tagged Adaptation, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, biodiversity, business as usual, Caribbean, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, Donald Trump, doomsday, ecosystem, Environment, extinction, Future, Gerardo Ceballos, Global Population, Global Warming, Harvey, homogenization, Houston, Hurricane, IPAT, IPCC, irma, jacksonville, methodology, Mitigation, North Korea, nuclear weapon, nuclear weapons, Paul Ehrlich, PNAS, Population, probability, refutability, Rodolfo Dirzo, scenario, Science, sea level, sixth extinction, species, Sustainability, timing, Trump, UN, US, warming oceans, warning signs, World Population
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Doomsday: The Simple (or Simplistic) Version
I am writing this blog on Saturday, one day before hurricane Irma is scheduled to make an unwelcome visit to Florida. Other unwanted weather events are taking place all around. Human impact, especially the undesirable variety, is taking a toll. … Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change
Tagged Adaptation, Ann Coulter, Anthropocene, armageddon, blame, business as usual, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2 emissions, David Wallace-Wells, Debate, disaster, disaster porn, discussion, Donald Trump, doomsday, earthquake, Emissions, End of Now, Energy, energy transition, Environment, fire, Florida, Fossil Fuels, Future, gay, Global Warming, great filter, Greg Abbott, Harvey, Hurricane, iceberg, irma, Kim Jong Un, lesbian, LGBT, Mexico, Mitigation, natural disaster, Now, Nuclear, nuclear war, ocean levels, Oregon, panic, pastor, politics, refutability, Rising Tides, Science, scientific, Scott Pruitt, shifting baseline, sin, Sustainability, Technology, Texas, Trump, US, Weather, wildfire
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