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Tag Archives: risk
Extreme Heat: Big Cities, 2050
We are entering new levels of extreme heat. June 2019 was the warmest June ever recorded. The Weather Channel summarized it: At a Glance Four separate analyses, including from NOAA and NASA, found Earth’s warmest June on record was in … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, Extreme Weather, Sustainability
Tagged 1880, 2050, a/c, Adaptation, air conditioner, air conditioning, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Beijing, Britain, C40, Cairo, China, city, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2, CO2 emissions, Delhi, Drought, Dubai, Egypt, Emissions, Energy, energy transition, Environment, Europe, extreme heat, Extreme Weather, Future, Global Warming, greenhouse gas, Health, heat, heat wave, heatwave, India, Istanbul, Japan, Ljubljana, London, Madrid, Mexico, Mexico City, Mitigation, Moscow, NASA, New York City, NOAA, NYC, Renewable, renewable energy, risk, Science, Seattle, Slovenia, Solar, Spain, summer, Sustainability, Temperature, temperature change, Tokyo, urban population, US, Water, water crisis, Water Shortage, Water Stress, Wind
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Balanced Arguments or False Equivalence?
In the July 31st blog and several of the ones following it, I focused on an effort by four Republican senators to investigate federal grant making as it pertains to climate change: “Research designed to sway individuals of a various … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, Sustainability
Tagged a/c, Adaptation, air conditioner, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Balance, Brooklyn College, business as usual, carbon dioxide, censorship, China, Chinese hoax, Climate Change, climate change denier, consensus, coverage, Debate, denier, deniers, Economy, Electricity, Energy, energy transition, fake news, false equivalence, Future, Google, heat, heat wave, hoax, John Holdren, mccain, Media, Meteorologist, Mitigation, NCA4, Obama, Power, probability, projection, propaganda, risk, Science, science adviser, Sustainability, Sustainable, Trump, Twitter, USGCRP, worst-case
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Giving Up is Not an Option: Let’s Focus on What We Still Can Do
Bridge used to be one of my favorite social activities (when my free time was a bit more abundant). To those not familiar with the rules, the basic structure is simple: one deck of cards, two teams of two. Wikipedia … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, politics, Sustainability
Tagged Adaptation, administration, Al Gore, alps, Antarctica, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, assessment, attribution, Australia, Bangladesh, bridge, Britain, budget, California, causality, cause, China, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2 emissions, Congress, contract, desert, Drought, Energy, energy transition, Environment, Extreme Weather, forecast, Fossil Fuels, funding, Future, Game, GAO, Global Warming, globalization, Government, greenhouse gas, Greenland, heat, heat wave, heatwave, History, indoctrination, James Inhofe, James Lankford, Jim Hansen, John Sunumu, Mauritania, Meteorologist, Meteorology, Mitigation, penguin, political, politics, probabilistic, propaganda, Rafe Pomerance, Rand Paul, Republican, risk, Science, sea ice, senator, strategy, Sustainability, Switzerland, Teaching, Technology, Ted Cruz, Texas, TV, Weather
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Climate Change and Federal Government Funding
Last week I looked at four Republican senators’ efforts to terminate government funding for television meteorologists who mention climate change as part of the forecast. I also discussed the issue in light of the global heat wave and the havoc … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, politics, Sustainability
Tagged accountability, Adaptation, administration, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, assessment, attribution, Britain, budget, causality, cause, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, Drought, Environment, Extreme Weather, forecast, funding, GAO, Global Warming, globalization, Government, heat, heat wave, heatwave, indoctrination, James Inhofe, James Lankford, Japan, Kelvin Droegemeier, laos, Meteorologist, Meteorology, Mitigation, National Research Council, political, politics, probabilistic, propaganda, Rand Paul, Republican, risk, Science, science adviser, senator, Sustainability, Technology, Ted Cruz, TV, UK, Weather, weather system
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Uncertainties Can Bring The Best Possible Outcomes, The Worst Possible Outcomes, and Everything In Between: Ocean Currents
I have addressed uncertainty on a number of previous occasions (December 10, 2012; May 16, 2017; January 9, 2018; and other blogs) but some important work came to light recently that put this idea to a test. Most of the … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, Sustainability, Water
Tagged Adaptation, ambiguity, Antarctica, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, AR4, atlantic, business as usual, carbon dioxide, certain, circulation, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2, CO2 emissions, conveyor belt, Current, disaster, ecosystem, Emissions, energy transition, Environment, estimate, expectation, Fossil Fuels, Future, Glacier, Global Warming, greenhouse gas, humid, humidity, ice, ice age, IPCC, melt, methodology, Mitigation, MOC, Ocean, polar ice, Prediction, projection, Research, risk, risk aversion, risk management, Science, sea ice, Sustainability, Temperature, temperature rise, uncertain, uncertainty
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Irrationality and the Future
Climate change is all about future impact; the aspects that we see and deal with right now are limited to those already highlighted by early warning signs in this process. The fact that the issues are global means that mitigating … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, Sustainability
Tagged Adaptation, Anthropocene, behavioral economics, behavioral science, bonds, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2 emissions, committed warming, discounting the future, Economics, Education, Emissions, End of Now, Energy, energy transition, Environment, forecasting, Fossil Fuels, Future, Global Warming, greenhouse gas, Kahneman, loss averse, Mitigation, Ocean, optimism, planning fallacy, risk, Science, stocks, Sustainability, Tversky
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Dynamic Scoring: Taxes and Climate Change
Our government’s executive and legislative branches, are in the midst of discussing two important issues: tax breaks and climate change. Well, in truth, the only real discussion going on has to do with the tax legislation. Climate change is only … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, COP21, IPCC, law, Sustainability, Trump, UN, UNFCCC
Tagged Accounting, Adaptation, analysis, budget, business as usual, byrd rule, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, CO2 emissions, Congress, COP23, debt, deficit, Democrat, Donald Trump, dynamic accounting, dynamic analysis, Economics, Economy, Emissions, Energy, energy transition, Environment, Fiji, fire, Fossil Fuels, GDP, Global Warming, GOP, governance, Government, greenhouse gas, Growth, heatwave, IPCC, loss, Mitigation, Obamacare, Paris accord, Paris Agreement, Reagan, Republican, risk, Science, sea ice, sea level, Tax, tax cut, tax reform, Technology, Ted Cruz, Temperature, Trump, UN, UNFCCC, US, vote, voter
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Global Trends 2035
Last week’s blog opened with a figure from the January 2017 intelligence report titled, “Global Trends Paradox of Progress.” It showed the projected average surface temperature change based on two emission scenarios: RCP8.5 – a high emission scenario that approximately … Continue reading
Posted in administration, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Climate Change, Education, IPCC, Sustainability, Trump
Tagged Adaptation, Bret Stephens, calculation, Carbon, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Climate Change Denial, Climate Change Deniers, Climate Skeptics, CO2 emissions, decarbonization, Donald Trump, Earth, earth system, Education, Electricity, Emissions, Energy, energy transition, Environment, environmental, fossil fuel, Fossil Fuels, Future, global trends, Global Warming, greenhouse gas, impact, intelligence, IPCC, Mitigation, National Intelligence Council, Obama, paradox, Physical Environment, Power, progress, Report, Rising Tides, risk, scenario, Science, scientist, society, spring, Sustainability, Technology, Trump, uncertainty, US
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Risk
We are not very good at estimating risk. This is especially true of large, infrequent risk. Recently a judge fined BP for being “grossly negligent” in the blowout on the deep water horizon oil rig disaster that killed 11 workers … Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change
Tagged Adaptation, BP, Climate Change, corn, drilling, Environment, Global Warming, green market, Insurance, loss potential, Mitigation, Oil, risk, risk assessment, risk management, Sandy, Sea-Level Rise, spill
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